Unravelling the mystery of probability in weather and climate forecasts

Date: Thursday, 18 October 2018

Time: 11.30 am – 12.00 noon Australian Central Daylight Time (Adelaide, GMT+10:30)

Summary: This webinar provides an update from the Bureau of Meteorology’s Agriculture Program, focusing on the following issues:

  • Frost prediction – some insights and learnings from forecasting of minimum temperatures this season
  • New seasonal forecast model – improved accuracy and increased forecast period from 3 months to 6 months
  • Probabilistic forecasts – a greater confidence in data analysis with a greater range of answers. What are probabilistic forecasts? How do they work and what are the benefits?

Speaker: Vernon Carr – Bureau of Meteorology

Upcoming webinars

Presentation title Registration Speaker Date

Vine medication – the benefits of undervine cover cropping – (more)

Chris Penfold – University of Adelaide

Thursday, 25 October

Salinity – practical information for growers – (more)

Kerry DeGaris – Australian Wine Research Institute

Thursday, 8 November

Increasing wine flavour with glycoside additions – (more)

Mango Parker – Australian Wine Research Institute

Tuesday, 20 November

Bureau of Meteorology Seasonal Outlook for vintage 2019 – (more)

Darren Ray – Bureau of Meteorology

Thursday, 6 December

Previous webinars

Presentation title Recording Speaker Date

Targeted manipulation of vine balance: does vine balance directly affect fruit composition? – (more)

Dr Everard Edwards – CSIRO

11 October 2018

Why does this wine smell like apricots? – (more)

Dr Tracey Siebert – Australian Wine Research Institute

4 October 2018

State of play – key markets for Australian wine – (more)

Kirstin Hannan – Wine Australia

27 September 2018

Antitranspirants – can they enhance winegrape production? – (more)

Darren Fahey – NSW DPI

13 September 2018

Biosecurity – current and future risks – (more)

Dr Mardi Longbottom – Australian Wine Research Institute

6 September 2018

The flavour of bottle-aged Riesling – predicting and controlling future chemistry – (more)

Dr Josh Hixson – Australian Wine Research Institute

30 August 2018

What is a webinar?

Webinars are interactive online seminars where you participate from your home or workplace using a computer or mobile device with internet access. You will hear from a presenter, see their slides and have the opportunity to ask questions. AWRI webinars cover a range of winemaking, winery management and viticulture topics and are usually held on a Thursday at 11:30 am Australian Central Standard Time (Adelaide, GMT+09:30).

Further information

Please contact the AWRI information services team.

System requirements

You will need a computer or mobile device with an Internet connection. Audio is connected over the Internet using your computer or mobile device’s speakers (Voice over Internet Protocol – VOIP). Participants joining a webinar via a mobile device will need to download an app available for free from iTunes or Google Play.

2017-18 webinars

Click here to view recorded sessions from the 2017-18 program.